Investors that did well in August, September may face short squeeze

Anyone who is betting on failure, and is short risky assets, may face a short squeeze following the European bailout, says Richard Quin, managing director of global credit investment manager Bentham.

“The guys who were outperforming in August and September were likely short risky assets and long riskless assets such as U.S. Treasuries,” says Quin. “If you’re short right now you’re likely in the midst of a squeeze.”

The European bailout out agreed last week in an EU summit in Brussels may help Europe avoid a recession and re-capitalise European banks. U.S. third-quarter annualised economic growth of 2.5 per cent has also boosted investor sentiment.

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Geopolitical risks rewire asset allocation ‘operating system’: GIC

Some investors are “missing the point” of geopolitical risks by equating them to the disruptions from conflicts and wars, according to GIC chief economist Prakash Kannan, but in reality, geopolitical risk is no longer episodic or peripheral. This means investors need to think harder about inflation and country composition in their portfolio.

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