Asset manager Pain makes big calls

“I’ve always wanted to be an independent thinker in an investment world dominated by group think and the relentless pursuit of mediocrity,” says Pain.

Now 51 years old, Pain works out of an attic above his garage in Glenorie, 45 kilometres north-west of Sydney. The property was originally bought to accommodate his wife and daughter’s love of horses, of which the family had three that have since been sold.

One of Pain’s pet theories is that the world is now divided between those that are submerging in debt and those that are emerging because of rapid growth, such as China, India, Vietnam and Indonesia.

“It’s the new reality as opposed to the new normal, which is an incredibly US-centric view,” Pain chuckles as he lights another cigarette.

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Geopolitical risks rewire asset allocation ‘operating system’: GIC

Some investors are “missing the point” of geopolitical risks by equating them to the disruptions from conflicts and wars, according to GIC chief economist Prakash Kannan, but in reality, geopolitical risk is no longer episodic or peripheral. This means investors need to think harder about inflation and country composition in their portfolio.

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