Aron Pataki: Investing by thematic: deciphering the trends

Growing populist politics have meant that policymakers will be forced into increasing unorthodox polices such a modern monetary theory, but what does this mean for traditional diversification strategies? How should investors allocate during a time of converging signals of uncertainty that call into question the recovery of the global economy? Speaker: Aron Pataki, portfolio manager, Newton Investment Management Moderator: Colin Tate, chief executive, Conexus Financial

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Key Takeaways

  • We are entering into a new cycle that is likely to see low growth and higher volatility whereby certain trends will be exacerbated such as de-globalisation and a trend towards localisation on both a national and regional level.
  • Around the world we are likely to see modern monetary theory become more mainstream as QE runs its course.
  • Many governments will look to recover from the coronavirus lockdowns through fiscal stimulus directed towards new infrastructure related to renewables energies, electric vehicles and 5G data centres.

Poll results

[vc_empty_space height=”10px”]Which asset class will make the most money for investors over the next 12 months?[vc_line_chart x_values=”” values=”%5B%7B%22title%22%3A%22Equities%22%2C%22y_values%22%3A%2253%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22blue%22%7D%2C%7B%22title%22%3A%22Government%20bonds%22%2C%22y_values%22%3A%222%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22pink%22%7D%2C%7B%22title%22%3A%22Gold%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22chino%22%2C%22custom_color%22%3A%22%2350485b%22%7D%2C%7B%22title%22%3A%22High%20yield%20credit%22%2C%22y_values%22%3A%228%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22mulled-wine%22%2C%22custom_color%22%3A%22%235aa1e3%22%7D%2C%7B%22title%22%3A%22EM%20debt%22%2C%22y_values%22%3A%2228%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22sky%22%2C%22custom_color%22%3A%22%235472d2%22%7D%5D”][vc_empty_space height=”10px”]What role do themes play in your portfolio construction process?[vc_line_chart x_values=”” values=”%5B%7B%22title%22%3A%22%3C10%25%22%2C%22y_values%22%3A%2238%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22blue%22%7D%2C%7B%22title%22%3A%22%3E10%25%20to%20%3C20%25%22%2C%22y_values%22%3A%2233%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22pink%22%7D%2C%7B%22title%22%3A%22%3E20%25%20to%20%3C40%25%22%2C%22y_values%22%3A%2218%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22chino%22%2C%22custom_color%22%3A%22%23f7f7f7%22%7D%2C%7B%22title%22%3A%22%3E40%25%20to%20%3C50%25%22%2C%22y_values%22%3A%224%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22mulled-wine%22%2C%22custom_color%22%3A%22%234cadc9%22%7D%2C%7B%22title%22%3A%22%3E50%25%22%2C%22y_values%22%3A%227%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22sky%22%2C%22custom_color%22%3A%22%2350485b%22%7D%5D”]

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