Keynote: Geopolitics and the arc of history

The narrative of US decline is fashionable and pervasive – but is it accurate?   
Drawing on Hoover Institution research on the structural sources of great-power durability and the comparative history of imperial collapse, this virtual lecture will argue that political turbulence and systemic decline are not the same thing — and that confusing them is a category error with serious consequences for how investors price geopolitical risk. It will question whether narratives around the decline of US world power are exaggerated.