While there have been moments when bond market reactions have flirted with the concept that inflation is closer than it has been previously, QIC's Allison Hill sees no immediate confirmation that inflation is on the horizon.
What happens during the unwinding of central bank policy is uncertain but presents a good opportunity for fixed income investors with a global perspective as countries move away from synchronised rates in potentially uneven fashion.
Central Banks have move to a policy regime where fiscal stimulus is an even bigger lever with short-term interest rates in the US likely to will remain on hold at least through to 2023, Bridgewater's Rebecca Patterson has said.
Low inflation will be one of the key characteristics of the challenging macro economic environment that lies ahead, due largely to the ageing population leading to weaker aggregate demand, PGIM Fixed Income's Nathan Sheets says.
Emerging evidence has helped funds refine their scenario planning to get a better feel for how investments will perform, according to Ian Patrick, who is considering a number of factors including lock down time frame changes and societal shifts in his forward economic and asset value assumptions.
The world’s ability to manage Covid-19 will progressively improve over time, says Mark Delaney, the CIO of Australia’s largest superannuation fund, and the economic recovery has so far been faster than with other major recessions.
Investors are facing some deeper thinking about defensive asset classes, portfolio diversification and income generation in light of the diminished attributes bonds now hold in light of unique circumstances financial markets are throwing up. Experts discuss the evolving environment and consider relevant defensive strategies.