“This keeps portfolio volatility constant and we can measure how much return for risk we are taking,” Iverson says. This discipline is similar to the “total portfolio” approach used by the $153-billion Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB). It stipulates that any move away from its policy portfolio (which acts like NZ super’s reference book) to its real portfolio must be funded by a corresponding shift in assets within the policy book. NZ Super and the CPPIB are also similar in risk profile: contributions to the Canadian fund are expected to exceed annual paid benefits until 2021 and its investments are planned to amortise over a 75-year period. NZ Super’s governance principles allow the investment team to respond autonomously to opportunities. However, more complex investment decisions require board oversight and most of the asset allocation ranges it operates within are a legacy from the days when the fund adhered to strategic asset class weights.
“With the reference portfolio construction, investment limits become less relevant,” Iverson says. “Portfolio expectations are more important.” These expectations are very fluid – they are largely dictated by the opportunities presented by markets. While the fund does not want private equity investments per se, it asks if the risk exposures currently offered by the strategies will help it meet return objectives. In addition NZ Super doesn’t rebalance its portfolios, so the difference between the reference and real books is constantly shifting because of market movements. Active investor The fund actively invests in listed and private market assets such as infrastructure, private equity, timberland, property and farmland. In 2008 four guardians, or trustees, of NZ Super – Aaron Drew, Richard Frogley, Tore Hayward and Rishab Sethi – published a paper entitled “Strategic tilting around the SAA benchmark”. This technique has become another way in which the fund invests actively.
According to the paper, “in the presence of uncertainty over the return predictability process, strategic tilting tends to perform at least as well as the traditional approach of rebalancing asset classes to their weights in the strategic asset allocation”. But there is a catch. Tilting too early can result in poor short-term performance before longer-term gains are enjoyed. But the New Zealand Government will only begin drawing on the fund in 18 years so it can invest with a genuine long-term horizon. “We are still in the early days of strategic tilting,” Orr says, adding that it can be difficult when your client is the Government, whose actions are routinely reported in the press. “You are taking risk on when it feels most uncomfortable, but that is exactly what you should be doing.” The fund’s total economic exposure to asset classes at the end of the most recent financial year diverged from the reference portfolio. Its allocation to global equities was 60.6 per cent against the 70 per cent in the reference portfolio. Its exposure to domestic equities was 5.2 per cent; fixed income 11.3 per cent; listed property 5.5 per cent; and private equity, infrastructure, timber and other private markets amounted to 20.1 per cent.







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